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Commentary: China and fast-growing economies should spur a global economic race to the top but aren’t

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LONDON: Over the last 25 years, the relative growth rates of the worlds major economies have changed dramatically.

Six developing countries in particular – China, South Korea, India, Poland, Indonesia, and Thailand – have grown extremely fast during this period.

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The rich G7 countries, on the other hand, have experienced slowing rates of labor productivity growth, and their combined share of world GDP has fallen from two-thirds to one-half.

SOME NEW THINKING NEEDED

Neoclassical growth theory, which has dominated economic thinking over this period, has not been able to explain this reversal of fortunes.

For anyone who has watched South Korean and Chinese firms triumph in one world market after another, it is difficult to believe that Western countries will be able to compete more effectively in the future simply by making their markets more efficient.

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If the developed world is to boost its competitiveness, the West needs to embrace some new economic thinking. That means gaining a better understanding of the growth process, and using this knowledge to develop policies that can help accelerate it.

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Moreover, we should not think that we can acquire this knowledge by building ever more complex and unrealistic mathematical models.

REVIEW THE FIXATION ON GDP

A good place to start is with the measurement of national wealth, and the fact that a countrys GDP per capita is simply the sum of the value added per capita of all its economic organizations, mainly firms.

Singapore Maritime Week draws members of the international maritime community for conferences and events that reflect the vibrancy and diversity of the city-state as a global hub port. Photo: Shutterstock

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We then need to ask how firms increase their value added per capita. In the observable world, rather than the world of perfect competition embraced by neoclassical economists, companies can do this in two ways.

They can increase their production efficiency, as Henry Ford did when he started using an assembly line to manufacture cars, or increase the competitive advantage of their products, as Steve Jobs did when he developed Apples iPhone.

Both Ford and Jobs increased the competitiveness of their firms by innovating. Countries like China and Singapore have done the same, helped along by lessons from more advanced economies.

Both have declared themselves to be innovation nations, and have put innovation at the heart of government policy.

FOCUS ON INNOVATION

Western countries therefore need to understand three things in particular. First, they must increase their rates of innovation in order to compete better against fast-growing emerging economies.

That will require them to develop policies that strengthen national systems of innovation, education, and training, and improve the governance and financing of their firms.

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Municipal- and regional-level policies should support these goals.

Second, the West needs to understand that there is a global ladder of economic development, the rungs of which represent increasing levels of organisational and technological complexity, and value added per capita.

It is difficult for any firm to gain a competitive advantage in activities such as manufacturing cheap clothes and assembling electronic components, resulting in low value added per capita, and thus low wages and salaries.

Employees work on a production line manufacturing camera lenses for cellphones at a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China April 30, 2019. (Photo: China Daily via REUTERS_

By contrast, companies in industries such as aerospace and pharmaceuticals can build up significant competitive advantages, leading to high value added per capita and consequently high wages and salaries.

Developing countries are rapidly moving up the ladder, and are increasingly competing directly with developed economies. The latter therefore must innovate rapidly both to increase tRead More – Source