BEIJING—Chinas factory activity likely grew for the fourth month in June but the pace may be waning, as global demand stayed subdued while a fresh CCP (Chinese Communist Party) virus outbreak in the Chinese capital and rising worldwide cases threaten to undermine a gradual domestic recovery.
The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), due for release on June 30, is expected to ease to 50.4 in June, from 50.6 in May, according to the median forecast of 29 economists polled by Reuters. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in activity.
With travel bans finally lifted in April in Wuhan, the epicenter of the countrys CCP virus crisis, China has largely managed to recover from strict lockdowns that had led to weeks of economic paralysis.
Yet export demand has remained weak with infections steadily rising across the world. Some fear a worldwide recession might turn out to be more pronounced than expected in the event a second wave of CCP virus cases force many countries to reimpose strict lockdowns.
Earlier this month, a cluster that has steadily grown to more than 200 cases associated with a food market emerged in Beijing, underscoring the ever present economic threat posed by the virus.
“We received a stark reminder this week that the fight against COVID-19 is not over, as new cases globally thrice reached new highs,” Morgan Stanley said in a note on June 29.
Not Much Room
The fallout from the global pandemic has left factories in China, and elsewhere, operating below strength amid slack demand.
“Chinas work resumption has Read More – Source